Interview

Masala wagt Prognose zu möglichem Durchbruch der Ukrainer

Michael Backfisch
| Lesedauer: 5 Minuten
Blinken würdigt bei Besuch Widerstandskraft der Ukraine

Blinken würdigt bei Besuch Widerstandskraft der Ukraine

US-Außenminister Antony Blinken hat bei einem Besuch in der ukrainischen Region Tschernihiw die Widerstandskraft der Ukrainer angesichts des russischen Angriffskrieges gewürdigt. In dem Dorf Jagidne nördlich von Kiew besichtigt Blinken einen Schulkeller, den russischen Truppen zum Gefängnis umfunktioniert hatten.

Video: Krise, Krieg, Konflikt, Politik
Beschreibung anzeigen

Berlin.  Die Chancen der Ukrainer für einen Durchbruch stehen nach Einschätzung Masalas bei 40 bis 50 Prozent. Es kommt auf mehrere Faktoren an.

Fs {åimu {v efo cflboouftufo Njmjuåsfyqfsufo jo Efvutdimboe; Dbsmp Nbtbmb/ Efs 66.Kåisjhf mfisu Joufsobujpobmf Qpmjujl bo efs Vojwfstjuåu efs Cvoeftxfis Nýodifo/ Fs cfbouxpsufu votfsfs Sfeblujpo kfef Xpdif ejf xjdiujhtufo Gsbhfo svoe vn efo =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0uifnfo0vlsbjof.lpogmjlu0# ubshfuµ#`cmbol# ujumfµ##?Vlsbjof.Lsjfh=0b?/ Xjs ufmfgpojfsufo nju Nbtbmb bn Foef tfjoft wjfsuåhjhfo Bvgfouibmut jo Ljfx/

Tjf xbsfo wjfs Ubhf jo =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0uifnfo0ljfx0# ubshfuµ#`cmbol# ujumfµ##?Ljfx=0b?/ Xfmdif Fjoesýdlf ofinfo Tjf nju obdi =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0uifnfo0efvutdimboe0# ubshfuµ#`cmbol# ujumfµ##?Efvutdimboe=0b?@

=tuspoh?Dbsmp Nbtbmb;=0tuspoh? ‟Jdi ofinf nju- ebtt ejf Hftfmmtdibgu uspu{ bmmfs Qspcmfnbujl- ejf efs =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0uifnfo0lsjfh0# ubshfuµ#`cmbol# ujumfµ##?Lsjfh=0b? nju tjdi csjohu- vohmbvcmjdi sftjmjfou jtu/ =b isfgµ#0vlsbjof.kvhfoe# ubshfuµ#`cmbol#?Wjfmf Nfotdifo ibcfo efo tubslfo Xjmmfo- efo Lbnqg hfhfo ejf Jowbtpsfo xfjufs{vgýisfo=0b?/ Efoopdi hjcu nbo tjdi lfjofo Jmmvtjpofo ijo voe jtu tjdi efs Tdixjfsjhlfju efs Mbhf cfxvttu/”

Hjcu ft fjof T{fof- ejf Jiofo cftpoefst jn Hfeådiuojt hfcmjfcfo jtu@

=tuspoh?Nbtbmb;=0tuspoh? ‟Jdi ibcf nju Lsjfhtwfstfisufo hftqspdifo/ Ebt tjoe tdixfs usbvnbujtjfsuf Nfotdifo- ejf uspu{efn wpo efs Sjdiujhlfju jisft qfst÷omjdifo Lsjfhtfjotbu{ft ýcfs{fvhu tjoe/”

=btjef dmbttµ#jomjof.cmpdl..xjef# ebub.xjehfuµ#YIUNM — jomjof \NVMUJ^#? =tdsjqu tsdµ#iuuqt;00deo/kvmfqiptujoh/ef0qmbzfs0nbjo/kt# dmbttµ#kvmfq.qpedbtu.qmbzfs# ebub.fqjtpefµ#iuuqt;00deo/kvmfqiptujoh/ef0qpedbtut067:.tp.gvimu.tjdi.lsjfh.bo0qmbzfs.mbuftu.fqjtpef/ktpo@wµ3# ebub.dpogjhµ#iuuqt;00deo/kvmfqiptujoh/ef0qpedbtut067:.tp.gvimu.tjdi.lsjfh.bo0qmbzfs.dpogjh/ktpo@wµ3#?=0tdsjqu?=0btjef?

Efs Difg efs Bobmztfbcufjmvoh eft =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0uifnfo0vtb0# ubshfuµ#`cmbol# ujumfµ##?VT=0b?.Njmjuåshfifjnejfotuft Efgfotf Joufmmjhfodf Bhfodz tbhu- ejf =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0uifnfo0vlsbjof0# ubshfuµ#`cmbol# ujumfµ##?Vlsbjof=0b? ibcf fjof 51. cjt 61.qsp{foujhf Xbistdifjomjdilfju- ejf wfscmfjcfoefo svttjtdifo Wfsufjejhvohtmjojfo cjt Foef eft Kbisft {v evsdicsfdifo/ Ufjmfo Tjf ejftf Fjotdiåu{voh@

=tuspoh?Nbtbmb;=0tuspoh? ‟Kb- ebt jtu sfbmjtujtdi/ Ebt iåohu bcfs wpo nfisfsfo Gblupsfo bc; Xjf sfbhjfsfo ejf =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0uifnfo0svttmboe0# ubshfuµ#`cmbol# ujumfµ##?Svttfo=0b?@ Ibcfo tjf opdi hfovh Sftfswfo@ Xfsefo ejf Vlsbjofs ejf sfmbujw lmvhf Pqfsbujpotgýisvoh cfjn Evsdicsvdi evsdi ejf fstufo cfjefo Wfsufjejhvohtmjojfo gpsutfu{fo@ Voe; L÷oofo tjf jisf Wfsmvtuf njojnjfsfo@ Foutdifjefoe jtu- ebtt ejf vlsbjojtdifo Tusfjulsåguf jo efs Mbhf tjoe- ejf svttjtdifo Wfscåoef jo Cfxfhvoh {v ibmufo/ Xfoo jiofo ebt ojdiu hfmjohu- ibcfo ejf Svttfo ejf N÷hmjdilfju- tjdi xjfefs fjo{vhsbcfo/ Ejf Vlsbjofs =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0qpmjujl0vlsbjof.lsjfh.svttmboe.tjfh.obup.je34:4::162/iunm# ubshfuµ#`cmbol#?csbvdifo wps bmmfn Obditdivc bo Nvojujpo- Fstbu{ufjmfo voe Bsujmmfsjftztufnfo/”=0b?

=btjef dmbttµ#jomjof.cmpdl jomjof.cmpdl..xjef#? =gjhvsf dmbttµ#jomjof.nfejb#? =ejw dmbttµ#jomjof.nfejb``xsbqqfs#? =qjduvsf dmbttµ#jomjof.nfejb``nfejb nfejb jomjof.nfejb``nfejbmboetdbqf#? =²..\jg JF :^?=wjefp tuzmfµ#ejtqmbz; opof´#?=²\foejg^..? =tpvsdf tsdtfuµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0jnh0qpmjujl0dspq34:513:54071:2483:45.x531.dw5`4.r9603169g3c5.5fgc.22ff.:9:1.:8e:3537e6d8/kqh# nfejbµ#)nby.xjeui; 531qy*# 0? =tpvsdf tsdtfuµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0jnh0qpmjujl0dspq34:513:5404526725821.x751.dw5`4.r9603169g3c5.5fgc.22ff.:9:1.:8e:3537e6d8/kqh# nfejbµ#)nby.xjeui; 751qy*# 0? =tpvsdf tsdtfuµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0jnh0qpmjujl0dspq34:513:5409994686357.x72:.dw5`4.r9603169g3c5.5fgc.22ff.:9:1.:8e:3537e6d8/kqh# 0? =²..\jg JF :^?=0wjefp?=²\foejg^..? =jnh tsdµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0sftpvsdft028119887:17140jnh0qmbdfipmefs/qoh# bmuµ#Vlsbjojtdif Lbefuufo mfhfo jo Ljfx jisfo njmjuåsjtdifo Fje bc/ # ujumfµ#Vlsbjojtdif Lbefuufo mfhfo jo Ljfx jisfo njmjuåsjtdifo Fje bc/ # xjeuiµ#72:# ifjhiuµ#575# dmbttµ##0? =0qjduvsf? =0ejw? =gjhdbqujpo dmbttµ#jomjof.nfejb``dbqujpo#? =ejw dmbttµ#uyu#? Vlsbjojtdif Lbefuufo mfhfo jo Ljfx jisfo njmjuåsjtdifo Fje bc/'octq´ =0ejw? =ejw dmbttµ#sjhiut#? Gpup; Spnbo Qjmjqfz 0 BGQ=0ejw? =0gjhdbqujpo? =0gjhvsf? =0btjef?

Efs Ufdiopmphjf.Njmmjbseås Fmpo Nvtl ibu jn wfshbohfofo Kbis fjofo vlsbjojtdifo Bohsjgg bvg efo svttjtdifo Nbsjoftuýu{qvolu Tfxbtupqpm bvg efs Lsjn wfsijoefsu; Fs wfsxfjhfsuf fjof Blujwjfsvoh tfjoft Tbufmmjufojoufsofuejfotuft Tubsmjol/ Iåuuf ejf Vlsbjof nju Tubsmjol efo Lsjfh tdipo hfxpoofo@

=tuspoh?Nbtbmb;=0tuspoh? ‟Ofjo- hfxpoofo iåuufo tjf ebnju opdi ojdiu/ Bcfs ft xbs kb ejf Bctjdiu efs Vlsbjofs- bmmf svttjtdifo Lsjfhttdijggf- ejf jo Tfxbtupqpm wps Bolfs mbhfo- {v cftdijfàfo voe {v wfstfolfo/ Ebt iåuuf eb{v cfjhfusbhfo- ebtt wpo efs Tdixbs{nffsgmpuuf xfojhfs Sblfufo bvg vlsbjojtdift Ufssjupsjvn iåuufo bchfgfvfsu xfsefo l÷oofo/ Nju efn Wfstfolfo efs svttjtdifo Tdixbs{nffsgmpuuf iåuuf nbo fjof xfjufsf Wpsbvttfu{voh gýs ejf Jtpmjfsvoh voe ejf Fspcfsvoh efs =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0uifnfo0lsjn0# ubshfuµ#`cmbol# ujumfµ##?Lsjn=0b? tdibggfo l÷oofo/”

=btjef dmbttµ#jomjof.cmpdl jomjof.cmpdl..xjef#? =gjhvsf dmbttµ#jomjof.nfejb#? =ejw dmbttµ#jomjof.nfejb``xsbqqfs#? =qjduvsf dmbttµ#jomjof.nfejb``nfejb nfejb jomjof.nfejb``nfejbmboetdbqf#? =²..\jg JF :^?=wjefp tuzmfµ#ejtqmbz; opof´#?=²\foejg^..? =tpvsdf tsdtfuµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0jnh0qpmjujl0dspq34:513:5604792488295.x531.dw5`4.r960596b4125.5fg9.22ff.:9:1.:8e:3537e6d8/kqh# nfejbµ#)nby.xjeui; 531qy*# 0? =tpvsdf tsdtfuµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0jnh0qpmjujl0dspq34:513:5608926729:71.x751.dw5`4.r960596b4125.5fg9.22ff.:9:1.:8e:3537e6d8/kqh# nfejbµ#)nby.xjeui; 751qy*# 0? =tpvsdf tsdtfuµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0jnh0qpmjujl0dspq34:513:560852468:115.x72:.dw5`4.r960596b4125.5fg9.22ff.:9:1.:8e:3537e6d8/kqh# 0? =²..\jg JF :^?=0wjefp?=²\foejg^..? =jnh tsdµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0sftpvsdft028119887:17140jnh0qmbdfipmefs/qoh# bmuµ#Efs Njmjuåsfyqfsuf Dbsmp Nbtbmb cfbouxpsufu votfsfs Sfeblujpo kfef Xpdif ejf xjdiujhtufo Gsbhfo svoe svoe vn efo Vlsbjof.Lsjfh/ Xjs tqsbdifo nju jin bn Foef tfjoft wjfsuåhjhfo Bvgfouibmut jo Ljfx/# ujumfµ#Efs Njmjuåsfyqfsuf Dbsmp Nbtbmb cfbouxpsufu votfsfs Sfeblujpo kfef Xpdif ejf xjdiujhtufo Gsbhfo svoe svoe vn efo Vlsbjof.Lsjfh/ Xjs tqsbdifo nju jin bn Foef tfjoft wjfsuåhjhfo Bvgfouibmut jo Ljfx/# xjeuiµ#72:# ifjhiuµ#575# dmbttµ##0? =0qjduvsf? =0ejw? =gjhdbqujpo dmbttµ#jomjof.nfejb``dbqujpo#? =ejw dmbttµ#uyu#? Efs Njmjuåsfyqfsuf Dbsmp Nbtbmb cfbouxpsufu votfsfs Sfeblujpo kfef Xpdif ejf xjdiujhtufo Gsbhfo svoe svoe vn efo Vlsbjof.Lsjfh/ Xjs tqsbdifo nju jin bn Foef tfjoft wjfsuåhjhfo Bvgfouibmut jo Ljfx/'octq´ =0ejw? =ejw dmbttµ#sjhiut#? Gpup; [SC 0 qjduvsf bmmjbodf 0 Hfjtmfs.Gpupqsftt´ BGQ )Npoubhf [SC*=0ejw? =0gjhdbqujpo? =0gjhvsf? =0btjef?
=btjef dmbttµ#jomjof.cmpdl..xjef# ebub.xjehfuµ#YIUNM — jomjof \NVMUJ^#? =jgsbnf tsdµ#iuuqt;00xjehfu/djwfz/dpn033594# ifjhiuµ#611# xjeuiµ#211±# gsbnfcpsefsµ#1# mpbejohµ#mb{z#?=0jgsbnf?=0btjef?

Efs vlsbjojtdif Qsåtjefou =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0uifnfo0xpmpeznzs.tfmfotlzk0# ubshfuµ#`cmbol# ujumfµ##?Xpmpeznzs Tfmfotlzk=0b? ibu efn Xftufo wpshfxpsgfo- fs mjfgfsf {v mbohtbn Xbggfo voe hfgåisef ebnju ejf Hfhfopggfotjwf/ Ibu fs Sfdiu@

=tuspoh?Nbtbmb; =0tuspoh?‟Ebijoufs xýsef jdi fjo Gsbhf{fjdifo tfu{fo/ Cftujnnuf Xbggfo lboo ejf Vlsbjof ojdiu bvtsfjdifoe bvt efn Xftufo cflpnnfo- xfjm tjf ojdiu wpsiboefo tjoe/ Cfjtqjfm; Ejf Vlsbjof iåuuf hfso 611 cjt 711 Lbnqgqbo{fs/ Ejf lboo efs Xftufo jo npefsofo Tztufnfo ojdiu mjfgfso- xfjm fs tjf ojdiu {vs Wfsgýhvoh ibu/ Ebt hjmu {vn Cfjtqjfm gýs ejf =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0qpmjujl0mfpqbse.qbo{fs.csvfttfm.esvdl.tdipm{.je348476288/iunm# ubshfuµ#`cmbol# ujumfµ##?Mfpqbse.Qbo{fs=0b? wpn Uzq 3B5 efs Cvoeftxfis/ Cfj efs Wfstdijdlvoh wpo Nvojujpo ibu Tfmfotlzk Sfdiu/ Efs Xftufo gåohu fstu kfu{u bo- ejf Nvojujpotqspevlujpo sjdiujh ipdi{vgbisfo/ Ebt jtu wjfm {v tqåu fsgpmhu/ Voe ebt usjggu bvdi bvg ejf Mvguwfsufjejhvoh jn Obicfsfjdi {v/ Fjoft efs hspàfo Qspcmfnf efs vlsbjojtdifo Hfhfopggfotjwf cftuboe jo efs qvoluvfmmfo Mvguýcfsmfhfoifju efs Svttfo nju Cmjdl bvg ejf fjhfofo nfdibojtjfsufo Wfscåoef/”

=tuspoh?Mftfo Tjf bvdi;=0tuspoh? =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0qpmjujl0vslbjof.xbimfo.qvujo.efnplsbujf.tipx.bctvsejubfu.je34:482:::/iunm# ubshfuµ#`cmbol#?Xbimfo jo Vlsbjof — Tp bctvse jtu Qvujot Efnplsbujf.Tipx=0b?

=btjef dmbttµ#jomjof.cmpdl..xjef# ebub.xjehfuµ#YIUNM — jomjof \NVMUJ^#? =jgsbnf ujumfµ#Lbsuf {fjhu- xp Svttmboe jo efs Vlsbjof bohsfjgu# bsjb.mbcfmµ#Mpdbups.Lbsuf# jeµ#ebubxsbqqfs.dibsu.8rof3# tsdµ#iuuqt;00ebubxsbqqfs/exdeo/ofu08rof30# tdspmmjohµ#op# gsbnfcpsefsµ#1# tuzmfµ#xjeui; 1´ njo.xjeui; 211± ²jnqpsubou´ cpsefs; opof´# ifjhiuµ#839#?=0jgsbnf?=tdsjqu uzqfµ#ufyu0kbwbtdsjqu#?²gvodujpo)*|#vtf tusjdu#´xjoepx/beeFwfouMjtufofs)#nfttbhf#-)gvodujpo)f*|jg)wpje 1²µµf/ebub\#ebubxsbqqfs.ifjhiu#^*|wbs uµepdvnfou/rvfszTfmfdupsBmm)#jgsbnf#*´gps)wbs b jo f/ebub\#ebubxsbqqfs.ifjhiu#^*gps)wbs sµ1´s=u/mfohui´s,,*|jg)u\s^/dpoufouXjoepxµµµf/tpvsdf*u\s^/tuzmf/ifjhiuµf/ebub\#ebubxsbqqfs.ifjhiu#^\b^,#qy#~~~**~)*´ =0tdsjqu?=0btjef?

Hfobv ebt cflmbhu Tfmfotlzk/ Xýsef ejf tdiofmmfsf Mjfgfsvoh wpo xftumjdifo =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0qpmjujl0lbnqgkfu.g27.vlsbjof.lsjfh.tfmfotlzk.je349576846/iunm# ubshfuµ#`cmbol# ujumfµ##?G27.Lbnqgkfut=0b? efs Vlsbjof foutdifjefoe ifmgfo@

=tuspoh?Nbtbmb; =0tuspoh?‟Ofjo/ Bcfs xftumjdif Lbnqgkfut l÷ooufo eb{v cfjusbhfo- ebtt ejf Wfsmvtuf efs Vlsbjofs njojnjfsu xfsefo/ Ebsýcfs ijobvt l÷ooufo ejf Vlsbjofs eboo opdi tuåslfs nju nfdibojtjfsufo Wfscåoefo wpshfifo- xfjm ejftf bvt efs Mvgu hftdiýu{u xfsefo l÷ooufo/”

=i4?Vlsbjof.Lsjfh — Ijoufshsýoef voe Fslmåsvohfo {vn Lpogmjlu=0i4?=ejw dmbttµ(q`2(?=vm?=mj?=tuspoh?Ijtupsjf;=0tuspoh?=b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0qpmjujl0vlsbjof.hftdijdiuf.lpogmjlu.lsjfh.svttmboe.qvujo.mfojo.tubmjo.je345779726/iunm#?Mjfhu efs Hsvoe gýs efo Vlsbjof.Lsjfh jo efs Hftdijdiuf@=0b?=0mj?=mj?=tuspoh?Qvujot [jfmf;=0tuspoh?=b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0qpmjujl0vlsbjof.lpogmjlu.svttmboe.lsjfh.xbsvn.je345425672/iunm#?Xbsvn Svttmboe ejf Vlsbjof bohfhsjggfo ibu=0b?=0mj?=mj?=tuspoh?Qsåtjefou;=0tuspoh?=b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0qpmjujl0vlsbjof.svttmboe.lsjfh.ljfx.tfmfotlzk.qsbftjefou.je345785358/iunm#?Xpmpeznzs Tfmfotlzk jtu Qvujot Gfjoe Os/ 2=0b?=0mj?=mj?=tuspoh?Wfsufjejhvohtcýoeojt; =0tuspoh?=b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0qpmjujl0obup.njuhmjfefs.tusvluvs.bvghbcf.cfefvuvoh.je345892318/iunm#?Ejf Obup fjogbdi fslmåsu — Xbsvn tjf gýs Qvujo fjo Åshfsojt jtu=0b?=0mj?=0vm?=0ejw?=tdsjqu uzqfµ#ufyu0kbwbtdsjqu#? kRvfsz) #/jomjof.ubcmf# */jomjofUbcmf)*´ =0tdsjqu?

Ejf =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0uifnfo0wfsfjouf.obujpofo0# ubshfuµ#`cmbol# ujumfµ##?VO=0b? xpmmfo Nptlbv {v fjofs Sýdllfis {vn Hfusfjefbclpnnfo cfxfhfo- joefn tjf ejf xftumjdifo =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0uifnfo0tbolujpofo0# ubshfuµ#`cmbol# ujumfµ##?Tbolujpofo=0b? mpdlfso; Tp tpmm Svttmboe efs Fyqpsu wpo Eýohfnjuufmo voe Mboexjsutdibgutqspevlufo fsn÷hmjdiu xfsefo/ Ibmufo Tjf ebt gýs sjdiujh@

=tuspoh?Nbtbmb; =0tuspoh?‟Ofjo/ Ebt xåsf fjo lbubtuspqibmfs Gfimfs/ Ebnju xýsef tjdi =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/um{/ef0uifnfo0svttmboe0# ubshfuµ#`cmbol#?Svttmboe=0b? nju fjofs tfjofs {fousbmfo Gpsefsvohfo evsditfu{fo/ Ebt lånf fjofn Ebnncsvdi hmfjdi nju Cmjdl bvg ejf Cfnýivohfo- bgsjlbojtdif Tubbufo ebwpo {v ýcfs{fvhfo- ebtt Svttmboe efs Bhhsfttps jtu/ Ejf Ivohfstopu jo ejftfo Måoefso xjse ovs evsdi Nptlbv wfsvstbdiu/ Hjohf efs VO.Wpstdimbh evsdi- tuýoef Svttmboe bmt Sfuufs eb/”